Aviator How the statistics work

How the data is produced

Spribe does not publish a public feed of Aviator rounds. Every page is driven by a deterministic model of the game's published RTP, so anyone can reproduce every number.

The model

A crash multiplier is drawn as m = max(1, RTP / (1 - u)) with u uniform in [0, 1), rounded down to two decimals and capped at 10,000.00x, the ceiling used by this model (operators set their own cash limits). This gives P(m >= x) = RTP / x, the standard crash curve used to model crash games: with RTP 97% a 2x pays 48.5% of the time and a 10x pays 9.7% of the time.

m = min(maxMultiplier, max(1, floor(100 * RTP / (1 - u)) / 100))
P(m >= x) = RTP / x

Seeding and timing

Each UTC day of each game is seeded from the game id and the date, so the browser, the build step and the data worker generate identical rounds. Rounds run back to back: a 6 second betting window, a flight in which the multiplier doubles every 10 seconds, and a 3 second pause, giving roughly 3,708 rounds per day.

What the model cannot tell you

It cannot tell you what any casino table did, when a big multiplier will come, or whether a strategy works. The 10x+ rate converges to the theoretical 9.7% and the longest gaps are what independent rounds produce by chance. Treat every table on this site as an illustration of variance, not as evidence.

Data and reuse

Daily summaries, the public JSON API and the CSV dataset are published under CC BY 4.0. Please cite as: "Aviator statistics, aviatorstats.com".